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2024-12-13 11:59:16

The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The United States has approved the sale of arms facilities worth nearly 600 million US dollars to Kuwait and Ukraine. The US Department of Defense said in a statement that the State Council has approved the sale of vehicle maintenance equipment with an estimated value of 300 million US dollars to Kuwait. On the same day, it also approved the sale of F-16 fighter maintenance services and related equipment to the Ukrainian government at a cost of US$ 266.4 million.


Hezbollah in Lebanon declares that it is a dangerous act of aggression for Israel to occupy more Syrian territory and destroy its military capabilities. The United Nations Security Council, the international community and Arab and Islamic countries have the responsibility to reject and put an end to such acts and protect them at this sensitive and critical stage in Syrian history.On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.Iran calls on the United Nations to protect the safety of its diplomats in Syria. According to a report by the Islamic Republic of Iran News Agency on the 10th local time, Iravani, Iran's representative to the United Nations, urged the UN Security Council and the UN Secretary-General to condemn the recent attacks on Iranian diplomats in Syria. Iravani also called on the United Nations and the Security Council to take measures to ensure the safety of diplomats and prevent possible attacks. (CCTV)


The three major European stock indexes closed down across the board. The German DAX index fell 0.08% to 20329.16 points, the French CAC40 index fell 1.14% to 7394.78 points, and the British FTSE 100 index fell 0.86% to 8280.36 points.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I also expressed my concern about fiscal responsibility. We need to cut the deficit. I hope that Congress can try to pay for any extension of Trump's personal tax cuts passed in 2017.

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